Key Points
• Recent polling in 13 swing states shows a consistent advantage for Joe Biden over Donald Trump.
• The recent 2020 polling results correlate much more strongly with the 2016 election results than with the final 2016 polling results.
• This suggests that pollsters have adjusted their sampling and weighting procedures to correct for some of the problems that occurred in 2016 in light of the 2016 results.
• However, the election is still five months away. CONT.
Alan I. Abramowitz (Emory), Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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