Key Points• Perceptions of the presidential race could have some impact down the ballot.• Ticket-splitting is on the decline, but plenty of voters will vote for different parties for president and House, perhaps to the benefit of candidates from both parties.• We are making 14 House rating changes, 10 in […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden tops Trump among likely voters in key states
Democrat Joe Biden is ahead in three key states that President Donald Trump won in 2016, according to new Fox News statewide surveys of Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. Support for reelecting Trump falls below his 2016 vote share in each state. At the same time, there’s room for improvement, […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Biden’s lead persists post-conventions
After two political conventions unlike any the United States had seen before, Joe Biden maintains an advantage over Donald Trump in the race for the presidency, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Among registered voters, 51% back Biden, 43% Trump. The difference in each candidate’s support when […] Read more »
Biden leads Trump by a narrower 50%-43% in USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll
The political conventions over, Joe Biden now leads Donald Trump in the race for the White House by 50%-43%, the new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds. That seven-point advantage has narrowed from the 12-point edge he held in June. As Labor Day looms, launching the campaign’s final sprint, the survey […] Read more »
Biden Leads Trump in Latest Grinnell College National Poll
If the election were held today, the newest edition of the Grinnell College National Poll shows Joe Biden winning the popular vote in his quest to become to be the 46th President of the United States. Former Vice President Biden leads President Donald Trump 49-41% according to the poll, which […] Read more »
A Bounce Won’t Do It. Trump Needs a Post-Convention Vault.
The question on a lot of minds over the next week will be whether President Trump and Joe Biden enjoy the customary 5- or 6-point post-convention bounce. … Every time I walk through the data on this election, it just reinforces my view that while an incumbent in this deep […] Read more »