It looks, for now, like President Trump has bounced back a little after bottoming out. The president was at a low point against former Vice President Joe Biden, but in the past month, even though Biden still has an edge, the landscape has tightened some, according to the latest NPR […] Read more »
Will Wariness of China or Russia Sway More Voters in 2020?
… Gallup routinely asks Americans to name what they think is the country’s greatest enemy and finds Russia and China essentially tied as Americans’ highest-ranking concerns, while Iran is a close third. This dispersion reflects the post-Cold War reality that the United States still lacks a clear rival. At the […] Read more »
The Dreaded 269-269 Scenario: An Update
Key Points• The latest Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings show how the presidential election could result in a 269-269 deadlock, with neither Joe Biden nor Donald Trump possessing a majority of 270 electoral votes.• Even though Democrats hold a House majority and remain on track to maintain that majority next […] Read more »
Why Pennsylvania Could Decide The 2020 Election
Right now, Pennsylvania looks like the single most important state of the 2020 election. According to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential forecast, Pennsylvania is by far the likeliest state to provide either President Trump or Joe Biden with the decisive vote in the Electoral College: It has a 31 percent chance of being […] Read more »
Will late Trump or Biden TV ads change the race?
If you are unlucky enough to live in one of the dozen or so states where the campaigns of President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are duking it out on the airwaves, you’ve probably already had your fill of political ads. Hang on, there are less than […] Read more »
A strong day for Biden in the battlegrounds
This is around the time when convention bounces start to diminish. It’s still too soon to say whether President Trump’s bounce will fade or endure, but Tuesday was arguably Joe Biden’s best day of state polls since the Republican National Convention. CONT. Nate Cohn, New York Times The OPINION TODAY email […] Read more »