President Trump is on the defensive in three red states he carried in 2016, narrowly trailing Joseph R. Biden Jr. in Iowa and battling to stay ahead of him in Georgia and Texas, as Mr. Trump continues to face a wall of opposition from women that has also endangered his […] Read more »
Demographic shifts since 2016 could be enough to defeat Trump. But it’s complicated.
Four years ago, President Donald Trump lost the popular vote by 2.9 million votes and still won the White House thanks to a near-perfect geographic vote distribution that allowed him to capture big Electoral College prizes by razor-thin margins. The key? Trump’s unprecedented 37-point margin among white voters without four-year […] Read more »
Which Health Care Issues Matter Most to U.S. Voters?
In considering which health care issues will matter most in their vote for president, likely voters were split nearly evenly on two: addressing the public health needs and economic costs of COVID-19 (40%) and protecting insurance for people with preexisting health conditions (39%). A third issue, lowering the cost of […] Read more »
3 Key Sun Belt States Give Biden a Big Advantage on the ACA’s Future
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is drawing renewed attention to a pending Supreme Court challenge to the Affordable Care Act (ACA), supported by the Trump administration, that threatens to overturn the entire law, including its protections for people with pre-existing conditions. To assess how the renewed […] Read more »
Electoral politics and the Supreme Court
The Supreme Court vacancy created by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Sept. 18 has immediately put a nomination to the Court at the center of political debate. A new Marquette Law School Poll, conducted nationwide Sept. 8-15, finds that before Justice Ginsburg’s death, 48 percent of respondents […] Read more »
Trust on the economy bolsters Trump in oh-so-close Florida and Arizona
Donald Trump’s economic argument pushes back against Joe Biden’s pitch that he can better handle the coronavirus pandemic in Florida and Arizona alike, producing closely divided presidential contests in both states in new ABC News/Washington Post polls. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of […] Read more »