… After four years of Donald Trump’s severe intellectual and emotional impairments on daily display; after the killings of George Floyd and Breonna Taylor and the beginning of a “racial reckoning;” after Trump fought to take health care away from millions; after majorities acknowledged Trump was a serial liar and […] Read more »
Left v. Center? Bottom-Up!
The media has been vaunting the divide between the Democrats’ left and center and how the cleavage threatens Democrats’ tenuous majority. Here, a thousand miles outside the Beltway, a lot of the conversation seems pretty obscure: Like who the “squad,” a crew of House members with a talent for press […] Read more »
How Joe Biden and Mark Kelly show Arizona is now a purple state
Democrat Mark Kelly will be sworn in on Wednesday as Arizona’s junior US senator, finishing the final two years of the term won by the late Sen. John McCain in 2016. Both President-elect Joe Biden and Kelly were certified as the winners of their respective Arizona races on Monday. Their […] Read more »
Trump underperformed in most counties where he held large rallies
As the 2020 campaign wound down, President Donald Trump held rallies across the country to fire up his supporters and get them out to vote. Many saw the rallies as a sign of big enthusiasm for Trump, but the data suggest the visits did not produce the desired impact for […] Read more »
Biden’s Favorability Rises to 55%, Trump’s Dips to 42%
President-elect Joe Biden’s favorability rating has risen six percentage points to 55% since the election compared with his final preelection reading. At the same time, President Donald Trump’s favorability has edged down three points to 42%. CONTINUED Megan Brenan, Gallup Read more »
All Base All the Time Fails to Deliver
One of the theories given for why pre-election polling underestimated President Trump’s share of the vote was that pollsters failed to anticipate the huge surge in turnout among Trump’s base. One hypothesis is that these voters presented themselves as ambivalent voters — showing less interest in voting than others — […] Read more »