The Battle for the Battleground States

The last two successful Democratic candidates for president, President Barack Obama in 2012 and former Vice President Joe Biden in 2020, each won the national popular vote with 51 percent of the vote and beat their GOP opponent by four points (51-47). Yet, we also know these similar national popular […] Read more »

Democrats see grim prospects in final election results despite Biden’s win

… Ultimately, President-elect Joe Biden won the contests that mattered most, besting Trump by 7.1 million votes nationally and scoring pathbreaking wins in Georgia and Arizona. But beneath the surface, despite low approval ratings, high unemployment and a raging pandemic whose handling he had fumbled, Trump’s strength grew among key […] Read more »

The Trade: Meet the New Red Dog Democrats

… Over the last four years, some people who have traditionally been with the Republicans are finding that they were traded to a new team. And vice versa. Everyone intuitively knows that has happened, but for various reasons, many in the Washington political class don’t seem willing to accept the […] Read more »

Public’s Mood Sours — 16% Satisfied, 39% Approve of Trump

The public’s overall mood has soured since Gallup’s post-election measure in November. Specifically, satisfaction with the direction of the country and views of economic conditions in the U.S. have worsened significantly. So, too, has Congress’ job approval rating, which, at 15%, is the lowest of the 116th Congress. President Donald […] Read more »

Immigrant Neighborhoods Shifted Red as the Country Chose Blue

Across the United States, many areas with large populations of Latinos and residents of Asian descent, including ones with the highest numbers of immigrants, had something in common this election: a surge in turnout and a shift to the right, often a sizable one. The pattern was evident in big […] Read more »