The last two successful Democratic candidates for president, President Barack Obama in 2012 and former Vice President Joe Biden in 2020, each won the national popular vote with 51 percent of the vote and beat their GOP opponent by four points (51-47). Yet, we also know these similar national popular vote margins, did not produce similar electoral college outcomes. Obama won 26 more electoral votes than Biden (332-306).
What’s more interesting, however, is to see the difference in how each Democrat performed in the key battleground states. And, what it may tell us about the 2024 map. CONTINUED
Amy Walter, Cook Political Report
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