America remains a deeply divided country during a period of turmoil and political instability. Events since last year’s bitterly fought and close Presidential election have only increased this polarization. Historical patterns suggest that the Republicans are well positioned to do well in the upcoming midterm elections. With only two exceptions […] Read more »
Why Biden’s seen a (slight) decline in his approval ratings
… Two weeks ago, I noted that Biden’s approval rating had not moved during the first six months of his administration. Relative to history, Biden’s approval rating is still quite steady. But for the first time in his administration, you can see that there has been a slight but noticeable […] Read more »
In Democratic contests, the moderates strike back
When New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez shocked the political world by unseating a 10-term incumbent in a Democratic primary in 2018, some analysts believed the victory might foreshadow a party shift to progressivism. But three years later, the evidence for the great turn leftward is scant. In fact, looking at […] Read more »
Virus surge sends ripples of alarm through Democrats
The resurgence of the coronavirus has reshaped the early contours of the midterm elections, with some Democrats beginning to distance themselves from the Biden administration and more directly blame Republicans, reflecting their growing alarm on an issue that long played to their political advantage. Democrats had hoped to pivot from […] Read more »
Biden’s Ratings Slip, But It’s More Than Just Delta Fears
Like Donald Trump before him, President Biden didn’t get much of a political honeymoon. Even before he finished his first full week of work at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, an early February Gallup poll found views of the former Vice President were the most polarized of any first-term president at this […] Read more »
Does Biden Understand Contemporary Politics?
With rare exceptions, Joe Biden throughout his presidency has stressed his determination to cooperate with the GOP whenever possible and has minimized his personal confrontations with Republican leaders on both the national and state levels. That strategy has yielded the tangible benefit of the big bipartisan infrastructure bill now marching […] Read more »