A majority of Americans now disapprove of President Joe Biden’s job performance, while half give him low marks for competence and uniting the country, according to results from the latest national NBC News poll. What’s more, the survey finds that 7 in 10 adults, including almost half of Democrats, believe […] Read more »
What the Virginia governor’s race can tell us about Democrats’ hope to keep control of Congress
Next week, Democrats could lose or come close to losing a governor’s race in a state that voted for President Biden by 10 points. So what does that mean for Democrats’ chances to keep control of Congress next year? … While we should be wary of over-interpreting one election, there […] Read more »
What the polls agree on about Biden’s approval rating
Recent polling, at first glance, provides a somewhat out-of-focus picture of how Americans view Joe Biden: Seven national surveys released this month put the president’s approval numbers anywhere from 37% to 50%. But digging into the underlying numbers reveals a clearer consensus across a number of areas — how high […] Read more »
Who Will Show Up To Vote Next Year?
One significant piece of conventional wisdom that got turned on its head in 2020 was that higher turnout — especially among voters of color in states like Texas, Floria and Nevada — would solely benefit Democrats. Instead, many of these new voters, often younger and not typically engaged in politics, […] Read more »
There’s Opportunity in Independents
… In recent years, the parties’ focus—even obsession—over the wants and needs of their bases, to the exclusion of swing voters, has now become the norm. Republicans walk on eggshells trying not to offend a base that wants to fight culture wars and, notwithstanding the evidence, believes that former President […] Read more »
Democrats Need to Count Up, Not Down
With the finish line in sight (if still stubbornly out of reach) for the Democrats’ massive social-programs and economic development bill, the party now faces the challenge of focusing the attention of its key constituencies and the public on what remains in the package, not on what was cut in […] Read more »