Incumbent Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke appear poised to receive their respective party’s nominations in the March 1 Texas primary elections, according to a new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll. Abbott leads O’Rourke 47% to 37% in the likely though still hypothetical matchup for […] Read more »
Democrats, Speak to Working-Class Discontent
… Today, the Democrats’ working-class problem isn’t limited to white workers. The party is also losing support from working-class Blacks and Hispanics—a daunting 12 points off their margin since 2016, according to Ruy Teixeira. Even before last November’s election, commentators and analysts were pointing to the erosion of Democrats’ working-class […] Read more »
The allure of ‘strong and wrong’
‘Strong and wrong beats weak and right’ — that was former President Bill Clinton’s shrewd analysis 20 years ago of the Democrats’ failure to make gains in the first midterm election of the George W. Bush administration. The year was 2002, and Bush was still polling relatively high a year […] Read more »
Most Americans have come out ahead economically in the pandemic, despite inflation
Public discontent with America’s pandemic-battered economy obscures the good news: Even after inflation, most of the country has been coming out ahead. Red-hot demand for labor means lower-income workers can command wage increases that outpace rising prices. So can middle-income workers who switch jobs. Relief checks approved by lawmakers of […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Neither Biden nor Trump has their party’s full support for a 2024 run
A significant number of both Democrats and Republicans currently hope to see their parties find alternatives to President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump in the next presidential election, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. But very few have specific candidates in mind, underscoring how distant […] Read more »
Republicans may be divided over Trump, but that’s of little solace to Biden and the Democrats
Democrats got another harsh reminder this past week of what the November elections could bring, which is to say trouble. With inflation roaring at a pace not seen in 40 years, intraparty Democratic debates about mask mandates and President Biden’s weak approval ratings, the fundamentals for the midterm elections continue […] Read more »