Wisconsin is a crucial state for the upcoming presidential election. Hillary Clinton lost the state in 2016 by about 27,000 votes. Along with losing Michigan (by about 12,000 votes) and Pennsylvania (by about 68,000 votes), those three states handed President Trump the electoral college victory. So, can Joe Biden do […] Read more »
Getting Cartered
Key Points • President Trump’s approval numbers have remained steady or have even improved in the midst of the coronavirus crisis. • That said, the potential threat that the combined health and economic crisis poses to his reelection odds is obvious. • Trump may find himself in the position of […] Read more »
Turnout in the 2020 Democratic Primary: Some Clues for the Fall
Key Points • With very few exceptions, statewide turnout in the 2020 Democratic primary has been higher than 2016. • Suburban areas have seen some of the sharpest turnout increases — though these areas tend to have higher population growth, they’ve also trended blue in general elections, perhaps a positive […] Read more »
The Cleaner ‘Smoke-Filled Room’
Key Points • In the last 50 years, American political party leaders lost their historical control of the nominations of presidential candidates. • The reduced power held by these expert politicians contributed to Donald Trump’s nomination in 2016, and Democrats in 2020 came close to making a similar choice. • […] Read more »
Who Americans want Biden to choose as his Vice President
Vice President Joe Biden, the current frontrunner for the Democratic nomination for president, said he’s going to pick a female running mate. It’s a popular idea. Four in five (80%) Democratic voters approve of his commitment – 74 percent of male and 84 percent of female Democratic voters, according to […] Read more »
Young People of Color Shaped Key Super Tuesday Primaries
The 2020 Democratic presidential primaries have once again shown that young people influence elections. More than half of states have now voted in the 2020 Democratic primaries, and the field has narrowed to two candidates: former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders. Biden holds a substantial delegate lead […] Read more »