Many Democratic politicians and voters rallied strongly behind Joe Biden both before and after Super Tuesday, aiming to halt what appeared to be Bernie Sanders’s momentum. Many did so because they feared Sanders is too ideologically extreme to beat Donald Trump in November. Were they right? In short, probably so. […] Read more »
Young Voters Know What They Want. But They Don’t See Anyone Offering It.
The oldest of them were just out of college on 9/11; the youngest were not yet born. Over the two decades that followed, they all came of age under storm clouds: of war, of recession, of mass shootings, wildfires and now a pandemic. The result is perhaps the most profound […] Read more »
How It All Came Apart for Bernie Sanders
In mid-January, a few weeks before the Iowa caucuses, Senator Bernie Sanders’s pollster offered a stark prognosis for the campaign: Mr. Sanders was on track to finish strong in the first three nominating states, but Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s powerful support from older African-Americans could make him a resilient foe […] Read more »
Rising Stakes And Electability: Presidential And Senate Battleground Poll
As the stakes in the US elections rise through each day of the pandemic, the country is sending a very clear signal about the Democratic nominee and electability. Democracy Corps conducted a 1,000-sample mostly cell-phone survey and a 2,900-sample web panel survey on behalf of the non-profit and non-partisan Center […] Read more »
The Final Forecast Fest
In the final episode of The Forecast Fest, we discuss how the coronavirus took over the Democratic primary. Then, we explain Biden’s inevitable path to the nomination. The Forecast Fest Read more »
This one number may explain why Biden won primaries
CNN political forecaster Harry Enten looks at key numbers in the wake of the Illinois, Florida and Arizona primaries that explain how former Vice President Joe Biden is well on his way to winning the Democratic presidential nomination. CONT. CNN Read more »