A year from now, Americans will make history. The electorate is facing the most tumultuous time in American politics in at least 50 years — arguably a century — and their ultimate choice for president is almost certain to be a candidate who reflects the churning and tumult of a […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton Increases Her Lead Over Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton has increased her dominant lead within the Democratic Party’s presidential contest, now besting rival Sen. Bernie Sanders by a margin of two to one among primary voters in the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. But the Democratic front-runner remains unpopular with the general electorate, and fewer than […] Read more »
State of the election markets: After the GOP debate
The Republican primary got another jolt this week with Wednesday, October 28’s debate: Marco Rubio won and Jeb Bush lost. Rubio won because he beat up Bush, and they are the only two viable establishment candidates left in the race. … Ted Cruz and Ben Carson both had “strong debates” […] Read more »
Chicken or Egg? Media pull versus push
… This election season, On the Media is teaming up with the data news site Five Thirty Eight to track the push and pull between polling, media attention, and public interest. CONT. On The Media Read more »
If Bernie Sanders Loses, What Happens to His Army of Young Voters?
At 74 years old, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is the oldest major-party candidate in the 2016 field. But his rise in the polls this summer was powered by younger voters. Those voters aren’t likely to be a strong enough force to propel him to the nomination, but their support could […] Read more »
Republicans Remain Divided as Democrats Unite
It is a good time to review the unusual—maybe unprecedented—presidential contest, which exhibits striking fluidity and uncertainty, with a huge group of candidates on the Republican side, and an equally striking coalescence toward an early consensus on the Democratic side. Making predictions is folly at this very early stage, but […] Read more »