Poll Modeling Says: No, Bernie Sanders Is Not More Electable

Bernie Sanders, facing a virtually insurmountable climb to win the Democratic nomination through pledged delegates, has turned to trying to convince superdelegates that he is more electable. Sanders is doing this by pointing at current polling which does indeed show him performing stronger against Donald Trump or the other Republicans […] Read more »

Trump Leads Cruz by 15 Points in Crucial Indiana Race

Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially decisive May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll. … In the Hoosier State’s Democratic contest, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by just four points, 50 percent to […] Read more »

In Democratic nomination race, psychology lags reality

The Democratic nomination race hasn’t been competitive for over a month: Hillary Clinton has an insurmountable delegate lead. But what’s remarkable is that the psychology of Democratic voters and most media outlets is detached from the reality of the math: Bernie Sanders’s share of the vote doesn’t seem to be […] Read more »

Gender Considerations Cause Voters to Favor Democratic Candidates

Although Americans routinely tell pollsters they’re ready to elect a woman, it remains an open question whether gender is playing a role in shaping candidate preferences in the 2016 contest. The most recent national survey of registered voters from Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind finds evidence that gender does indeed affect […] Read more »