A new poll shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump headed toward primary victories next week in Oregon — and suggests Clinton holds a strong lead over Trump as both pivot toward the November general election. DHM Research surveyed 901 likely Oregon voters between May 6 and May 9 for OPB […] Read more »
Wrapping up a Wild Ride: A 2016 Exit Poll Review
What was that all about? “That” is the wild ride of the 2016 primary season, and ABC News exit polls conducted across the primaries provide illuminating answers. For Republicans, it was about demand for an outsider fueled by profound disenchantment with economic and political conditions. For the Democrats, a deep […] Read more »
Bernie, Hillary, and Historical Memory
… Age–much more than class, race, gender, or even ideology–differentiates pro-Clinton and pro-Sanders voters. … Generations are culturally marked by the critical historical events that occurred when their members were quite young, say, roughly ages 18 to 28. Experiencing the Great Depression or the Vietnam War, for example, during late […] Read more »
Global Warming and the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
… Fewer than half of any candidate’s supporters are aware that virtually all climate scientists have concluded human-caused global warming is happening. However, supporters of the Democratic candidates are the most likely to think at least 90% of climate scientists are convinced (Sanders: 38%, Clinton: 27%). Far fewer supporters of […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders’s Legacy? The Left May No Longer Need the Rich
… Mr. Sanders’s weakness among affluent Democrats and his strength among working-class Democrats might seem unsurprising, given his class-focused message. … But in broader historical terms, it might be something of a turning point in Democratic politics: the moment when the party’s left no longer needs an alliance with wealthy […] Read more »
Exit Poll: Trump Shows Cruz the Door; Sanders Shows Clinton a Fight
Donald Trump relied on the underpinning of his presidential campaign – his strong appeal as a political outsider – to show Ted Cruz the door in their long battle, while Bernie Sanders showed Hillary Clinton that he’s still game for a fight. CONT. Gary Langer & Gregory Holyk, ABC News Read more »