In face of criticism, Trump surges to his biggest lead over the GOP field

Following his proposal to temporarily bar Muslims from entering the country, Donald Trump has increased his lead in the Republican primary to its largest margin yet, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. The results are the latest sign that Trump’s outspoken comments on immigration and terrorism continue to […] Read more »

These States Could Pick the GOP Nominee, Each for Different Reasons

… As Republicans gathered for their latest debate in Las Vegas this week, more GOP strategists believe their presidential marathon is evolving toward a three-way contest that could divide the party along sharp demographic and geographic lines well into 2016. CONT. Ronald Brownstein, National Journal Read more »

State of election markets: An interesting shift within the non-establishment derby

The main outline of the GOP primary was stable this week; the establishment (Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, and Chris Christie) is 60% to win and the non-establishment (Ted Cruz and Donald Trump) is 40%. But, there was an interesting shift within the non-establishment derby after Trump announced a proposed ban […] Read more »

New Poll May Show a Three-Way GOP Fight

The size and shape of the Republican presidential field is still shifting, but the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll suggests the remaining candidates are fighting to fill three GOP primary “lanes” – one for establishment supporters, one for social conservatives and one for the white working-class. CONT. Dante Chinni, […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Cruz, Trump ahead in Iowa, Clinton holds caucus lead

Ted Cruz and Donald Trump are the top two candidates Iowa Republican caucus-goers say are the most qualified to handle the top two issues facing the country — the economy and national security. That gives them front-runner status in a new Fox News poll of Iowa likely caucus-goers. CONT. Dana […] Read more »