Throughout the coronavirus pandemic, much attention has been paid to the national figures – whether the nation is “bending the curve.” But the numbers around COVID-19 increasingly make it clear that there isn’t a single national story with the virus. Numbers are down in some places and up in others. […] Read more »
Nervous Republicans See Trump Sinking, and Taking Senate With Him
President Trump’s erratic handling of the coronavirus outbreak, the worsening economy and a cascade of ominous public and private polling have Republicans increasingly nervous that they are at risk of losing the presidency and the Senate if Mr. Trump does not put the nation on a radically improved course. … […] Read more »
The fight for the Senate: A pinkie on the scale for Democrats?
Last September, I wrote in this space that small developments had given Democrats “some reason for optimism about next year’s fight for the Senate.” But I also noted the party would “need an upset or two to win control of the chamber next November.” More than seven months later, circumstances […] Read more »
States of Play: Battleground Voters Growing Concerns on COVID-19
Change Research conducted a poll of 2,448 likely general election voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin between April 2-3, 2020 on their thoughts, beliefs, experiences, and policy preferences with respect to the coronavirus crisis. Respondents were most likely to report experiencing low inventory at stores and […] Read more »
This one number may explain why Biden won primaries
CNN political forecaster Harry Enten looks at key numbers in the wake of the Illinois, Florida and Arizona primaries that explain how former Vice President Joe Biden is well on his way to winning the Democratic presidential nomination. CONT. CNN Read more »
AP VoteCast: Biden cuts deep into the Sanders coalition
Joe Biden cut deep into Sen. Bernie Sanders’ coalition of young, liberal and Latino voters on Tuesday, securing solid victories in Florida, Illinois and Arizona in unsettled times. The former vice president expanded his support among groups that have been propping up the Vermont senator’s struggling campaign. Biden, who has […] Read more »