The gold standard Iowa Poll released Saturday night showed Democratic Senate candidate Theresa Greenfield with major momentum. … While it’s still early and things could change, this Iowa poll, conducted by Selzer & Co., is the latest state survey for either the race for the White House or Senate to […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden ahead in Arizona, Kelly trouncing McSally in Senate race
Republicans are rightly concerned about Arizona. A new Fox News Poll finds the state shading blue — especially in the race for the U.S. Senate, where Democrat Mark Kelly bests incumbent Republican Sen. Martha McSally by a 50-37 percent margin among Arizona registered voters. … In a head-to-head presidential ballot […] Read more »
Changing Southwest may bring Democrats a milestone win
In a critical mark of the shifting political landscape, Democrats in November could secure a clean sweep of the Senate seats from the four key Southwestern states — a milestone the party hasn’t reached in nearly 80 years. … Even as Democrats struggle to maintain their position in slow-growing, predominantly […] Read more »
Why Trump’s shadow over the race for Senate control is so long
… Senate elections are becoming more about the party and less about the individual candidates. It’s become harder and harder for even the most talented Senate candidates to win, in effect, behind enemy lines, in states that usually vote the other way in presidential races. … The hardening alignment between […] Read more »
The six states at the center of the battleground map six months from Election Day
… While the coronavirus has tossed the mechanics of politicking in flux for the foreseeable future, leaders in both parties and officials with President Donald Trump and Joe Biden’s campaigns are surveying a relatively stable political battlefield that will be concentrated largely in just about a half dozen states: the […] Read more »
Older voters could offer Biden a new path to the White House
The dominant assumption among Democrats for years has been that the best way to expand the Electoral College map is to expand the electorate by turning out millions of additional young people and minorities. But Joe Biden’s campaign may be pointing Democrats toward a different path to widening the presidential […] Read more »