If you want to know what a campaign really thinks about its chances, you don’t listen to what it says, you watch where it puts its money. This week’s Data Download is looking at how the President Donald Trump and Joe Biden teams (and their main affiliated outside groups) have […] Read more »
Trump turns attention to suburbs despite demographic shifts
President Donald Trump has been paying a lot of attention to the suburbs over the last few weeks. He’s talked about protecting them from Democrats who, he says, want to “abolish” them and about protecting “suburban housewives” from the plans of presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden. A campaign focusing on […] Read more »
On the Trail, Again
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the general election cycle is in full swing. And, we’re taking on two of the most watched states in the presidential contest – Arizona and North Carolina. Our expert team breaks down the latest NBC News/Marist Polls of these two states. Is Biden […] Read more »
Democrats Are on Track to Win Decisive Battleground Suburbs They Lost in 2016
Democrats’ path to victory in 2020 requires strong majorities in cities and minimizing losses in rural stretches, but it hinges on performance in the suburbs. … To better understand the dynamics in these decisive places, Third Way used data from the analytics firm Catalist to estimate how many people are […] Read more »
Fueled By Suburbs, Democrats Are Poised For Gains In Key States, Analysis Finds
A new report from the centrist Democratic group Third Way, and shared first with NPR, finds that Democrats are on track to win the suburbs in five of six key states they lost in the 2016 presidential election. The analysis — which is based on voter-file data from the progressive-aligned […] Read more »
CNN Polls: Biden leads in three key states Trump won in 2016
With 100 days remaining until Election Day, voters in three critical battleground states swing in former Vice President Joe Biden’s way, according to new Arizona, Florida and Michigan CNN polls conducted by SSRS. In Florida (51% Biden to 46% for President Donald Trump) and Arizona (49% Biden to 45% Trump), […] Read more »