Slight differences in turnout could change the outcome of tomorrow’s special U.S. Senate election in Alabama. According to the Monmouth University Poll , a standard midterm turnout model gives Republican Roy Moore a slight advantage. A higher, although less likely, near-presidential election turnout would give Democrat Doug Jones a slim […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Enthused Democrats give Jones lead over Moore in Alabama
Democrat Doug Jones holds a 10-point lead over Republican Roy Moore among likely voters in deep red Alabama. Greater party loyalty plus higher interest in the election among Democrats combined with more enthusiasm among Jones supporters gives him the advantage in the race to fill the U.S. Senate seat previously […] Read more »
Roy Moore’s Alabama
… I have closely studied Winston County history and have long been proud of my ancestral ties. I wanted to explore whether traditional Republicanism could fully explain how the Old South’s most independent thinkers became Trump zombies willing now to send a plausibly accused pedophile to the Senate rather than […] Read more »
In Alabama, no good outcomes for the Republican Party
Every competitive special election draws outsized attention, but few deserve it more than Tuesday’s Senate contest in Alabama. No matter the outcome, the results will reverberate loudly across the country — and nowhere more than inside the Republican Party. … For Republicans, there likely can be no truly good outcome. […] Read more »
Jones needs black voters to beat Moore in Alabama. They aren’t there yet.
… African-Americans make up about 27 percent of the state’s population, and Jones will need them to turn out in droves on Tuesday, since he’s expected to win just a third of whites, at best. Only 15 percent of white Alabamians voted for Barack Obama in 2012, according to exit […] Read more »
What the people of Alabama really think of Roy Moore
Twelve conservative voters gathered inside a Birmingham coffee house Thursday for a candid discussion about the Alabama senate race. CONT. Vice News Read more »