Three-quarters of the way through the midterm election cycle, it doesn’t look like anything will change the ominous forecast for Democrats. And Republicans remain well-positioned to take back Congress this fall. There’s a difference between historic events and game-changing events (events that change the trajectory of an election cycle). A […] Read more »
Most Americans will balk if conservatives challenge contraception and gay marriage after overturning Roe
In the wake of last week’s momentous report that five conservative Supreme Court justices appear poised to strike down the Roe v. Wade decision that established a constitutional right to abortion almost half a century ago, politicians and pundits have started to ponder a previously unthinkable question. Could contraception and […] Read more »
GOP’s midterm bet: Voters will care more about inflation than abortion
One week after the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion that would eliminate the constitutional right to abortion, Republican candidates and strategists are increasingly confident that such a decision would not seriously harm the GOP’s chances of regaining House and Senate majorities come November, as Democrats have suggested it […] Read more »
Most who support Roe see an overturn as a danger to women, other rights
The nearly two-thirds of Americans who want Roe v. Wade kept in place say they feel angry and discouraged about the prospect that it may be overturned, describing that as “a danger to women” and as a threat to rights more generally. Most Americans, and particularly younger women, think it […] Read more »
Abortion could upend midterms, but only if young people vote
Last week’s leaked draft opinion that would overturn the Supreme Court’s Roe v. Wade ruling has potential impacts that reach beyond the courts and abortion laws. It was a bomb set off in the thick of 2022’s midterm campaign. And one doesn’t have to look hard to see how it […] Read more »
GOP still favored in midterms, despite possible overturning of Roe v. Wade
The national political environment has favored Republicans since last fall. And it has only gotten worse for Democrats in the months since as inflation has skyrocketed and President Joe Biden’s approval rating has dropped. The recent leak of a draft US Supreme Court opinion that would overturn Roe v. Wade […] Read more »