Democratic enthusiasm surges at polls after SCOTUS abortion ruling

Abortion bans in GOP-controlled states have sparked a surge of Democratic enthusiasm at the polls, says Chuck Todd. Since the Dobbs decision, Democrats have topped President Joe Biden’s 2020 performance in four special elections. Meet the Press, NBC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll […] Read more »

GOP seat lead shrinks as Biden approval ticks up — CBS News Battleground Tracker poll

Republicans head into the fall still in position to gain enough House seats for a majority, but a tumultuous summer has made their advantage appear a little smaller today — with a trend so far pointing toward narrow gains instead of a wave. Our CBS News Battleground Tracker estimates Republicans […] Read more »

Once unthinkable, Democrats now see narrow path to keeping the House

Democrats are voicing growing confidence about limiting losses in the House and potentially even salvaging their majority in the midterm elections, with candidates and allied groups making moves to capitalize on a backlash to abortion restrictions, signs of improvements in the economy and opposition to Donald Trump. After months of […] Read more »

Roe fell two months ago. Here’s how much it’s hurting the GOP.

Two months ago, the Supreme Court gave Republicans a once-in-a-generation victory in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, ending the constitutional right to abortion. Pro-life Republicans rejoiced, and some red states immediately passed new restrictions on the procedure. The rejoicing might have been premature. Since Dobbs was handed down, nearly […] Read more »

Four’s a trend: Democrats are doing much better in special elections since Roe was overturned

A special election, on its own, cannot tell us much about the political environment. Grouped together, special elections can tell a story. And in the case of special elections for the US House since Roe v. Wade was overturned, the story is clear: The national environment has become far more […] Read more »