On May 4, two days after Politico rocked Washington by revealing the draft of a Supreme Court decision to overturn the constitutional right to abortion, California Governor Gavin Newsom delivered remarks at a Los Angeles Planned Parenthood office—and triggered a small earthquake of his own. Newsom pledged that, however the […] Read more »
Biden disapproval hits new high as more Americans say they would vote for Trump
As inflation keeps rising and recession fears loom, a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows that Joe Biden is currently in the worst shape of his presidency. The survey of 1,541 U.S. adults, which was conducted from June 10-13, found that if another presidential election were held today, more registered voters […] Read more »
Parties Ask: Will Our Last Nominee Be Our Next Nominee?
Will our 2020 presidential nominee run again in 2024? That’s the question hanging over both of the major political parties right now. … Putting aside an unlikely primary challenge, one could draw a Venn diagram of Democratic attitudes on the subject. One circle represents Democrats afraid that Biden can’t win […] Read more »
Will 2022 tell us about 2024?
While no one knows exactly how bad this year will be for Democrats, every serious analyst recognizes 2022 is unlikely to be good for my party. Whatever the precise outcome, too many will blithely assume that the 2022 results will yield significant insights into President Biden’s prospects in 2024. History […] Read more »
Donald Trump has become more popular since the January 6 Capitol attack
… Analysts like me remarked over and over again during Trump’s time in office that he was one of, if not the most unpopular presidents. He left office with the lowest approval rating of any president at the end of his first term (39%) and the highest disapproval rating (58%) […] Read more »
Black voters’ support for Biden has cooled, poll finds
As far as Stacy Mumford is concerned, Joe Biden fulfilled the campaign promise that mattered most to her the instant he was inaugurated: simply not being named “Donald Trump.” But in the 18 months since then, she hasn’t seen Biden deliver on the myriad promises she believes he made to […] Read more »