What to know going into the first GOP primary debate

While most Americans are yawning through the waning days of late August, the political world is buzzing with one indictment after another and now, next week, the first Republican primary debate in Milwaukee. While eight candidates have qualified for the debate, the leading one—former President Donald Trump—may not show up. […] Read more »

Fourth Trump indictment does little to change public opinion

Half of Americans believe former President Donald Trump should be charged with a crime, and the same number say the latest charges are politically motivated, according to new ABC News/Ipsos polling conducted the day after the announcement of charges in Georgia related to efforts to overturn the 2020 election results […] Read more »

Economic perceptions continue to be a weak spot for Biden

President Biden’s approval ratings have remained low since earlier this summer, with 42% approving of his handling of his job as president overall and just 36% approving of his handling of the economy. Forty-two percent also rate his handling of foreign policy as good. The AP-NORC poll conducted in June […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Ramaswamy rising, as DeSantis loses ground in GOP primary

Former President Donald Trump maintains his large lead in the Republican presidential primary contest, as support doubles for Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis hits a new low, according to a new Fox News national survey. Fifty-three percent of Republican primary voters prefer Trump, down a touch from 56% in June. […] Read more »

Abortion Is Inflaming the GOP’s Biggest Electoral Problem

The escalating political struggle over abortion is compounding the GOP’s challenges in the nation’s largest and most economically vibrant metropolitan areas. The biggest counties in Ohio voted last week overwhelmingly against the ballot initiative pushed by Republicans and anti-abortion forces to raise the threshold for passing future amendments to the […] Read more »

Who likes Donald Trump? Lots of Republicans, but especially Hispanic voters, plus very rural and very conservative people

Former President Donald Trump greets supporters following a 2020 campaign rally in Arizona. Isaac Brekken/Getty Images Jonathan Schulman, Northwestern University and Matthew A Baum, Harvard Kennedy School Despite multiple state and federal indictments, recent polling indicates that former President Donald Trump retains a commanding lead in the race for the […] Read more »