Trump is exploiting an anti-trans turn in public opinion

Donald Trump’s new gender policy proposals — which would bar federal agencies from promoting “the concept of sex and gender transition at any age” and require the government to recognize male and female, as assigned at birth, as the only genders — are aimed both at his fervent base and […] Read more »

How an old debate previews Biden’s new strategy for winning senior voters

… Whether Biden proves more effective than other recent Democrats at attracting older voters around Social Security and Medicare will likely pivot on whether seniors believe the GOP genuinely would cut the programs if given the power to do so, argued Robert Blendon, a professor emeritus at the Harvard School […] Read more »

Feeling ‘overwhelmed’ and ‘fatigue,’ some GOP voters look beyond Trump

Nearly all of the focus group participants had supported Donald Trump in 2020 and said they would vote for him again against President Biden in 2024. But things got complicated when the moderator asked for the one emotion they now felt when they saw Trump on television or computers screens. […] Read more »

Primary voters aren’t excited about Biden or Trump. What does that mean for 2024?

The first phase of the 2024 presidential primary season is officially underway, bringing with it a cavalcade of early polling designed to answer a seemingly basic question: whether President Joe Biden and his predecessor, Donald Trump, have the support of their respective parties. That topic, though, is more complicated than […] Read more »

Why it’s better to start a presidential campaign early

The nascent 2024 presidential campaign seemed to hit a different gear this week with Nikki Haley entering the Republican primary. The former South Carolina governor and onetime United Nations ambassador joins former President Donald Trump as the only major competitors to declare bids for the presidency. Haley’s announcement, and the […] Read more »

The Contradictions of Ron DeSantis

Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida hasn’t officially decided whether he’ll seek the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. But already the contradictions are sharpening between his prospective general-election strengths and his emerging strategy to win the Republican primaries. Many of DeSantis’s boosters are drawn to him as a potential Republican nominee because […] Read more »