Iowa voters who are likely to participate in next year’s GOP presidential caucuses are self-described “traditional” conservatives and stridently opposed to abortion rights, according to new data from the latest NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom statewide poll. A whopping 80% of likely Republican caucusgoers said they would use the phrase “pro-life” […] Read more »
GOP primary voters split on issues based on view of 2020 election result
There are a lot of ways to understand the 2024 GOP primary electorate, but the most crucial split may be the one between Republican voters who believe Donald Trump actually won the 2020 presidential race and Republican voters who, correctly, acknowledge the former president lost his reelection bid. A new […] Read more »
Why most of Trump’s Republican rivals won’t attack him
Polls show Donald Trump leading Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, his nearest rival for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, by about 40 points. You might think this would cause the former president’s GOP rivals to attack him in an attempt to eat into that support, which stands at north of 50% […] Read more »
For the GOP, it’s all over but the shouting … and there will be plenty of shouting
Watching this fight for the Republican presidential nomination is like watching a race or a game that feels fixed from the beginning. For all intents and purposes, former President Trump is effectively an incumbent seeking renomination. It is not and has not been an “open” contest with several hopefuls having […] Read more »
Post-GOP Debate Survey Shows Trump Didn’t Suffer for Skipping
The first Republican presidential debate did nothing to change former President Donald Trump’s formidable lead over his rivals for the party’s 2024 nomination. According to a survey conducted Aug. 24, 58% of potential Republican primary voters back Trump for the GOP’s 2024 nomination. This is unchanged from our surveys released […] Read more »
DeSantis, Ramaswamy, Haley seen as top performers in first Republican debate
A new FiveThirtyEight/Washington Post/Ipsos conducted immediately following the first Republican primary debate finds that Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Nikki Haley are viewed by those who watched the debate as the best performers. Post-debate, this trio of candidates also has favorability ratings that compete with former president and current frontrunner […] Read more »