Key Points• Presidential party midterm losses are a regular feature of American politics.• President Biden’s numbers are weak as well. But it may be that Democrats are insulated in some ways from a potential “shellacking.”• Democrats are very likely to lose their House majority, although their total net loss is […] Read more »
A recession would only deepen Democratic woes
As awful as the last 15 months have been for Democrats since they completed the electoral trifecta of winning control of the White House, the House, and the Senate, there is a strong chance that things get a lot worse. Last summer it was Afghanistan that began to weigh down […] Read more »
January 6th, Roe v. Wade as the Known Unknowns for 2022
When asked in early 2002 to provide evidence that Saddam Hussein tried to supply weapons of mass destruction to terrorist groups, then-Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld replied, “There are known knowns — there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns — that is to say, […] Read more »
Voters in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District weigh in on issues ahead of midterms
Democrats aim to balance multiple crises ahead of November’s midterm elections. Voters in Livingston County, Mich., share their concerns about inflation and their views of President Biden. Asma Khalid, NPR News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
NBC poll shows major shift in Congressional preference since 2018
Steve Kornacki breaks down education and gender differences in Congressional preference from our latest NBC News poll. MTP Daily, MSNBC The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Treating Politics Like the NCAA Tournament
According to the PredictIt betting odds, there is an 84 percent chance that Republicans will capture the House in November, a 77 percent chance that the GOP wins a Senate majority, and a 72 percent chance that Republicans end up controlling both. Generally speaking, I am not a big fan […] Read more »