Key Points• Among states that are finished voting this year, 5 chose candidates of different parties between their Senate and gubernatorial elections. This number is roughly in line with recent midterms.• Georgia is headed to a runoff, but Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) and Brian Kemp (R-GA) placed first in their […] Read more »
The New Crossover Members of the House
Key Points• Republicans won a slim House majority at least in part by winning more victories in districts that Joe Biden carried than Democrats did in districts carried by Donald Trump.• There are currently slated to be 18 Republicans in Biden seats and just 5 Democrats in Trump seats.• Democrats […] Read more »
The Dust Has Settled (with Ron Brownstein)
This week Robert Gibbs and Mike Murphy were joined by a man whose many titles will take up most of our episode description. He is a Senior Editor at The Atlantic, a Senior Political Analyst for CNN, and the author of “Rock Me on the Water: 1974 — The Year […] Read more »
Where History Rhymed and Where It Didn’t
Earlier this cycle I compared midterm elections to Mark Twain’s famous quip about history not repeating, but often rhyming. Each midterm election is unique, but there are also patterns and norms that are constants from one midterm to the next. With the dust now (almost) settled, Twain’s quote was a […] Read more »
What the data show about angry parents rocking the 2022 election
Angry parents of school-aged children were supposed to rock the gates of the establishment and send a message in the 2022 elections, at least according to the conservative narrative. “Woke” school curricula, extended COVID-19 restrictions in schools, and policies around transgender athletes were supposed to drive voters to the polls […] Read more »
To understand the 2022 midterm vote, look at the state races
As soon as election results are in, analysts usually scramble to look for large-scale trends and lessons in the vote — but analyzing the 2022 vote is proving to be a complicated task. In some ways, it was a very uneven election. Was turnout up or down? Did the results […] Read more »