With President Biden’s approval rating mired in the 30s and with nearly 80 percent of voters saying the country is heading in the wrong direction, all the ingredients seem to be in place for a Republican sweep in the November midterm elections. But Democrats and Republicans begin the campaign in […] Read more »
This may be Democrats’ only chance to blunt a red wave in November
To avoid the worst-case scenario in November, Democrats must defy one of the most powerful trends shaping modern congressional elections. Recent polls have provided them a glimmer of optimism that they might do just that. That trend is the tightening correlation between voters’ attitudes toward a president and their support […] Read more »
Voters’ Eagerness to Reelect Incumbents Near Lows
A slim majority of U.S. registered voters, 53%, say their representative in Congress deserves reelection, while 41% disagree. The percentage endorsing reelection is similar to what Gallup has measured in its final preelection reading in most recent midterm election years, ranging from 50% in 2018 to 54% in 2006 — […] Read more »
Democrats get bounce in polls after Roe v. Wade is overturned
The idea that “nothing matters” has become a popular refrain in American politics. After all, former President Donald Trump violated all sorts of political norms and barely saw his popularity shift during his presidency. That’s why a lot of people (myself included) were skeptical that the US Supreme Court overturning […] Read more »
The Democrats haven’t turned the midterms around yet
When the Supreme Court released its anticipated decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization overturning Roe v. Wade, Democratic leaders were mocked for their immediate response: Ya gotta vote this November. “That’s all you’ve got?” an incredulous base replied. … In short order, though, frustration at the knee-jerk “it’s […] Read more »
Why Liz Cheney is in a lot of trouble in Wyoming
Rep. Liz Cheney has become an unexpected hero for Democrats. She was one of the few Republicans to vote to impeach President Donald Trump last year, has served as one of his most vocal critics in the GOP and is the vice chair of the House select committee investigating the […] Read more »