The last few weeks have brought Democrats some good news about the 2022 midterms. There have been better poll numbers and surprising election results in some races, such as this week’s close race in a Minnesota House district that went heavily for Donald Trump in 2020. Democrats still face an […] Read more »
Summer Breeze
If last summer’s theme song for Democrats was “Cruel Summer,” this summer should be “Summer Breeze.” By the end of the summer of 2021, the resurgence of COVID (and subsequent scramble for testing and inconsistent advice from government agencies), the chaotic withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, and rising inflation, […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Race for Congress tightens
Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats about voting in the November election, but the spread has narrowed, according to a new Fox News national survey. If voting today, the survey shows the race tied, as 41% would back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 41% the Republican. The […] Read more »
Will improving economic news be enough to help the incumbent party in November?
Every election cycle since the phrase was popularized in the 1992 presidential campaign, voters are reminded by politicians and pundits alike that elections almost always come down to one simple concept: “It’s the economy, stupid.” The 2022 midterm cycle has not parted from that tradition. But as the fall approaches […] Read more »
National poll of Latino voters—priorities, values, policy perspectives, and views of and outreach from the parties
In a period that has brought the shock of Uvalde, restrictions on women’s rights, and climate-related destruction, this large poll of 2,750 Latino voters found that their priorities have experienced a seismic shift, with gun violence/crime and abortion rising dramatically, while putting an exclamation point on the rising cost of […] Read more »
Why the Soothsayers Are So Puzzled by This Year’s Midterms
Doug Sosnik is the kind of political analyst who likes to figure out the results of the next election well in advance — it’s just how he’s wired. But even Sosnik, a former adviser to President Bill Clinton who now tries to forecast elections as a hobby, is stumped about […] Read more »