Historical trends and months of polling previously predicted that Democrats will face trouble in the midterms. But recent data shows that a red wave may not be the tsunami that Republicans were hoping for. Democratic strategist Joel Benenson and Republican pollster Neil Newhouse join Amna Nawaz to discuss what they’re […] Read more »
Massachusetts: Healey Opens General Election With Big Lead Over Diehl
Democrat Maura Healey starts off the general election for governor of Massachusetts with a major advantage over Republican Geoff Diehl, according to a new poll. The Suffolk University/Boston Globe/NBC10 Boston/Telemundo poll — which includes all the candidates who qualified for the November ballot — shows Healey with a 26-point lead […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Inflation, abortion motivating voter turnout
If the 2022 midterm election is about inflation and crime, that helps the GOP. If it’s about the future of American democracy and abortion, that helps the Democrats. The latest Fox News national survey shows those are the four top issues that registered voters are “extremely” concerned about right now: […] Read more »
Texas: Gov. Abbott maintains lead
The latest University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll finds Gov. Greg Abbott sustaining a polling lead over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 45%-40%, albeit one that has narrowed as the gubernatorial campaign enters its final and most public phase. … Beyond the top lines of the gubernatorial trial ballot, the poll […] Read more »
Independents will make or break Biden and the Democrats in November
… Anyone who studies election results in depth understands a couple of key points. First, the base will turn out. It always does in both parties. Second, elections are won in the middle. Yet most political strategies, ad buys and messaging center on base issues with a heavy dose of […] Read more »
Wisconsin: Johnson and Evers hold slim leads as races for senator and governor tighten
A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. Among likely voters, in his race for reelection, Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, is supported by 49%, while his Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. […] Read more »