After a summer of news that favored Democrats and with just two weeks until the midterms, a major new poll from The Times has found that swing voters are suddenly turning to the Republicans. The Times’s Nate Cohn explains what is behind the trend and what it could mean for […] Read more »
Nevada: Cortez Masto and Laxalt neck and neck in Senate race
Another battleground state, another toss-up contest. In one of Republicans’ best pick-up opportunities, GOP challenger Adam Laxalt and Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto are neck and neck. It’s a nationalized race where voters are aware of the stakes: eight in 10 of each candidate’s supporters see their votes as helping […] Read more »
What’s Really Going On With the Crime Rate?
Turn on a television in any state with a competitive Senate or gubernatorial race, and you’ll see that the criminal-justice reform agenda is under constant attack. … These attacks assume that the changes in criminal-justice policies that some states and many cities have pursued over the past few years are […] Read more »
Why very high turnout is likely this midterm
Eight years ago, interest in midterm elections hit rock bottom. Just 37% of the voting eligible population turned out to vote – the lowest since World War II. Few could have predicted that America would have the highest midterm turnout in the last century just four years later. A look […] Read more »
The Midterms May Come Down to the Last Gust of Political Wind
One thing on which strategists in both parties agree is that next month’s elections will feature a very high turnout level, a continuation of the last two cycles: 2018 featured the largest midterm turnout in 104 years, 2020 the biggest presidential turnout in 120 years. In recent elections it’s become […] Read more »
Midterm Voting Intentions Are Divided, Economic Gloom Persists
With less than three weeks to go until the midterm elections, registered voters’ preferences are nearly evenly divided: 41% say they favor the Democratic candidates in their districts, while a nearly identical percentage (40%) support Republican candidates; 18% are not sure how they will vote or favor candidates other than […] Read more »