Amy Cox, a Democratic candidate running to be an Ohio state representative, speaks with a potential voter on Oct. 23, 2022. Megan Jelinger/AFP via Getty Images Matthew A Baum, Harvard Kennedy School; Alauna Safarpour, Harvard Kennedy School; Jonathan Schulman, Northwestern University, and Kristin Lunz Trujillo, Harvard Kennedy School Since the […] Read more »
Early Voting Higher Than in Past U.S. Midterms
Four in 10 U.S. registered voters say they plan to vote before Election Day or have already voted, a higher proportion than in recent midterm elections. Significantly more voters plan to vote before Election Day this year (41%) than did in 2010 (26%), the first time Gallup asked the question […] Read more »
GOP Has Political Winds at Their Back in 2022
The political environment for the 2022 midterm elections should work to the benefit of the Republican Party, with all national mood indicators similar to, if not worse than, what they have been in other years when the incumbent party fared poorly in midterms. Heading into Election Day, 40% of Americans […] Read more »
Gas prices could decide the midterms. Here’s why
Midterm election results may come down to the price of a gallon of gas. Roughly half of Americans say either the economy or inflation is the most important issue in their vote for Congress, making bread-and-butter financial issues by far the most dominant in the lead-up to the midterm elections, […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Arizona races tighten as support for Republican candidates increases
With a week until Election Day, the latest Fox News poll finds close contests in the Grand Canyon State’s Senate and governor’s races, although more Republicans than Democrats are enthusiastic about heading to the ballot box. The survey of Arizona registered voters, released Tuesday, shows Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly with […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Johnson holds edge over Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race
President Biden won Wisconsin by less than one percentage point in 2020, and the state remains closely divided. Both Democratic Gov. Tony Evers and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson are in tough fights to keep their jobs, according to a new Fox News survey of Wisconsin voters. In the Senate race, […] Read more »