… For the last few weeks, as BBB negotiations stumbled along, and Pres. Biden’s job approval ratings continued to slide, Democrats I spoke to were frustrated, but convinced that they would be able to wrap up the legislation soon enough. Then, the thinking went, they’d spend 2022 talking about popular […] Read more »
Democrats self-destructing after Manchin’s maverick move
President Biden has no one to blame for the collapse of the Build Back Better legislation but himself. … There was no way that Manchin could ever have supported such an expensive social-spending package, at least if he wanted to win another election in Trump-friendly West Virginia in 2024. … […] Read more »
Will Trump Ruin a Red Wave in 2022?
… Mr. Trump remains the central figure in the G.O.P. Party elites try to ignore him as he spends many days fighting Republicans rather than Democrats and plotting his revenge against the 10 Republican House members who voted for his second impeachment, the seven Republican senators who voted to convict […] Read more »
Why the 2022 midterms look like the opposite of 2018
What a difference four years makes in politics. At this point in 2017, Democrats were about to pull off a stunning Senate win against a very flawed opponent in the deeply red state of Alabama. It was one of many indications that Democrats were on their way to a big […] Read more »
Public view on Biden’s handling of Covid and the economy takes another hit
Amid growing worries over Covid and the economy, President Joe Biden’s approval ratings in both areas took yet another hit while Americans’ preferences for congressional control swung sharply towards Republicans. Results in the CNBC All-America Economic survey imply potentially large Democratic losses in the November election. Biden’s overall approval rating […] Read more »
Voters who think Trump won are the most enthusiastic to vote in 2022
The Democrats only have a US Senate majority because they were able to win two Senate runoffs in Georgia in January. Those Democratic wins were made possible by lower turnout among Republican-leaning voters, who may have been deterred from voting after then-President Donald Trump falsely claimed that the November 2020 […] Read more »