The jury has returned a true verdict: The press and the pundits, which forecast a gaudy red wave, got it horribly, terribly, magnificently wrong. … Instead of establishing a Bureau of Shame, a wiser use of our time would be to convince editors that the election-prediction industrial complex’s skills at […] Read more »
Republicans, Fear the Young
Stressed and sickened by thoughts of their rights and democracy slipping away, young Americans across gender, racial, geographic and education lines banded together last week to help save the Democrats from what many foresaw as a sizable midterm defeat. If the elections had been decided by voters 45 and older, […] Read more »
So You Think You Can Explain The Election
The election is over. The results are (mostly) in. Time to decide what it all means. That’s a particularly popular activity in a year when Democrats pulled off something of an upset — their successes going against historical expectations and the popular narrative that suggested Republicans were set to sweep […] Read more »
The GOP did fine with Latino voters. But that wasn’t good enough.
Republicans spent the past two years trying to win over Latino voters. They poured money and manpower into on-the-ground outreach. They recruited Latino candidates. And they focused on economics while staying conservative on social issues – a strategy that Donald Trump used to woo millions of new Latino voters in […] Read more »
Republicans Paid a Price for Overturning Roe. It May Have Been Worth It.
The Republicans’ under-performance in the midterm elections has been described a lot of different ways — a failure, a rebuke, a mistake, etc. — but rarely as a price. That is, however, exactly what happened. Republicans took a hit at the polls because that’s the price to pay for a […] Read more »
Crime, American Public Opinion and the Election
… Americans’ perceptions of crime are significantly affected by partisanship. Responses to many survey questions about crime vary, in some cases dramatically, based on underlying political identity. It’s probable that these differences reflect party positioning and political campaign strategies as much as they do sharp differences in what partisan groups […] Read more »