Overwhelming majorities of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction, that their household income is falling behind the cost of living, that political polarization will only continue and that there’s a real threat to the nation’s democracy and majority rule. What’s more, the nation’s top politicians and […] Read more »
Can Biden Turn His Poll Decline Around?
After one year in office and his rehearsed and scripted reset press conference, will President Biden find a political bottom and turn his public opinion decline around? This is the fundamental question for the Biden Democrats for 2022. They have hardened and unanimously united the Republican base against them. They […] Read more »
Five Warning Signs for Biden as He Marks First Anniversary in Office
Key Points• As Joe Biden marks a year in office, he has found himself in a perilous position, and there are no obvious signs of improvement.• Among Biden’s challenges is an apparently weakened position among nonwhite voters as well as younger voters, two immensely important pillars of the Democratic coalition.• […] Read more »
New York State: Hochul Dominating Primary Field; Viewed Most Favorably by Dems
Governor Kathy Hochul is – five months before the primary – the clear favorite among New York Democrats, leading potential primary opponents by more than 30 points. She has the support of 46 percent of Democrats, compared to 12 percent for former New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, 11 […] Read more »
It’s Foolish to Predict the Midterms Until We Know Covid’s Future
… In sharp contrast to everyone else doom scrolling about the pandemic, political handicappers seem determined to treat 2022 as an ordinary election year. As a result, we are awash in glib forecasts about how the inflation rate, Biden’s approval numbers, or the Democratic stalemate on Capitol Hill will determine […] Read more »
Battered White House searches for a Biden comeback scenario
… Weighed down by the coronavirus pandemic, surging inflation and a stalled legislative agenda, Biden’s approval rating has long since dropped into the low 40s danger zone. That leaves him below the level of Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama at similar points before midterm contests that dealt them […] Read more »