Once upon a time, Ohio was a swing state. While it was slightly more Republican than the country as a whole, the Buckeye State voted with the winning presidential nominee fourteen consecutive elections, from 1964 to 2016. But that now seems like ancient history. … What is strange is how […] Read more »
Former Biden, Trump Pollsters Discuss the 2022 Midterms at IOP Forum
A pair of top political pollsters said Tuesday that the fast-moving foreign policy crisis in Ukraine and the uncertain trajectory of Covid-19 in the United States have cast uncertainty over the 2022 midterm elections, which will shape the latter half of President Joe Biden’s first term. The pollsters — John […] Read more »
Why polls may be underestimating Republicans
Most polls you’re looking at right now are likely underestimating Republicans’ position heading into the midterm election cycle. It’s not that the polls are “wrong.” Rather, it’s that most polls at this point are asking all registered voters who they’re going to vote for in November, when it’s likely only […] Read more »
NRCC Hispanic Battleground Congressional District Survey Findings
This installment of the NRCC Battleground Survey Project is a deep dive on a key target group: Hispanic voters. The survey looked at 47 battleground districts that have a sizable percentage of Hispanic voters and will determine control of Congress ahead of the 2022 midterm election. According to 2020 exit […] Read more »
The Empathy Factor
With the State of the Union right around the corner, and President Biden mired in his fifth straight month of abysmal job approval ratings, lots of Democrats are offering advice to help the president turn things around before the midterms. … All of this advice is coming up on a […] Read more »
Is McConnell Finally Poised To Make His Move?
Some see a fight bubbling up for the heart and soul of the Republican Party between former President Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. But despite Trump calling McConnell names like “old crow,” don’t believe that this feud is fundamentally personal. Rather, longtime McConnell watchers suggest the Kentuckian’s […] Read more »