State-level law enforcement units created after the 2020 presidential election to investigate voter fraud are looking into scattered complaints more than two weeks after the midterms but have provided no indication of systemic problems. That’s just what election experts had expected and led critics to suggest that the new units […] Read more »
Higher young voter turnout in midterms changes approach to major political issues
This midterm cycle, young voters turned out in historic numbers and helped Democrats stave off the Republican red wave. They were still a small portion of the electorate, but voters under 30 have shown increased participation in the last few elections. John Della Volpe of the Harvard Kennedy School Institute […] Read more »
Trump Was a Gift That Might Not Keep Giving
… For two successive presidential elections, Trump has stymied the most ambitious members of his party, and now this group is becoming increasingly assertive. DeSantis, Youngkin, Haley, Mike Pompeo, Josh Hawley, Ted Cruz, Tom Cotton and Mike Pence are engaged in the process of challenging the current occupant of the […] Read more »
Trump’s Problems, Pelosi’s Decision And A 2022 Wrap
The votes were still being counted but the news was being made elsewhere. Donald Trump announced his candidacy but then was hit with two bombshells: The Justice Department named a special counsel to investigate the national security documents he took to Mar-a-Lago and his role in the January 6th insurrection, […] Read more »
Polls vs. pundits: Who performed worse in 2022?
Everyone seems to have internalized the habit of yelling about polls after elections, so it’s understandable if you didn’t notice that the good ones gave us a pretty good picture of what would happen in the 2022 midterm elections. As a pollster myself, I was frustrated by the narrative that […] Read more »
Why fewer states than ever could pick the next president
The results of this month’s election point toward a 2024 presidential contest that will likely be decided by a tiny sliver of voters in a rapidly shrinking list of swing states realistically within reach for either party. With only a few exceptions, this year’s results showed each side further consolidating […] Read more »