To borrow from Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman, “I’ve seen enough.” No, I don’t know who’s going to win the election. According to our forecast, President Trump still has a chance at a second term: a 10 percent chance, to be more specific. But — even though we’ll still get […] Read more »
CNN Polls: Biden leads in Michigan and Wisconsin as campaign ends, with tighter races in Arizona and North Carolina
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds an advantage in the upper Midwest states of Wisconsin and Michigan, according to CNN Polls conducted by SSRS, but the race between Biden and President Donald Trump is tighter in the battlegrounds of Arizona and North Carolina. … White voters with college degrees in […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The End of the Trail
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Election Day is just five days away, and we have new NBC News/Marist Polls of two of the most competitive swing state races around! Where does the contest stand in Florida and North Carolina? Then, Ron Brownstein, Senior Political Analyst for CNN and […] Read more »
The Six Faulty Assumptions on Which the Trump Campaign Rested
Much of the thinking about the outcome of next Tuesday’s election has been binary: Does Joe Biden hang onto his lead in the polls and win, or can President Trump mount a successful comeback, threading the same needle that enabled him to win 30 states with 306 Electoral College votes […] Read more »
Biden leads Trump by six in North Carolina
Joe Biden holds a modest six-point lead with likely voters over President Donald Trump in the hard-fought swing state of North Carolina, a new NBC/Marist poll shows. Among likely voters, Biden’s support stands at 52 percent, compared to 46 percent for the incumbent president. … The poll also shows a […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden’s lead over Trump narrows slightly to 8 points
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump has narrowed a touch to 8 points from a 10-point advantage in early October, according to a Fox News national survey of likely voters. Biden is ahead by a 52-44 percent margin. It was 53-43 percent three weeks ago. His lead […] Read more »