… A new Quinnipiac University poll finds that 76% of New York City voters don’t want Mayor Bill de Blasio, a Democrat, to run for president in 2020. Only 18% do want him to run in 2020. The numbers aren’t much better among Democrats in the city. A sky high […] Read more »
Poll Hub: An Interview with Gallup’s Editor in Chief
Though a 10-year veteran of Gallup, Mohamed Younis has served as the organization’s editor-in-chief for just four months. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Younis joins the discussion to share his vision for the future of Gallup and how he is working to preserve the legacy of founder George […] Read more »
Who is Joe Biden’s base, really?
To put it mildly, former vice president Joe Biden hasn’t had a great week. Multiple women have come forward saying that he was uncomfortably handsy with them on the campaign trail. … So what, other than the assumption that Biden could win back some white, working-class Obama-to-Trump voters, is keeping […] Read more »
Why black voters are so important for Democrats in 2020
… Black voters make up about 20% of all Democratic voters, according to 2016 primary exit polls and 2018 data from the Pew Research Center. To put that in perspective, about the same percentage of Democrats identified themselves as “very liberal” in the average 2016 primary with an exit poll […] Read more »
Wisconsin, Ground Zero for 2020 Politics, Looks Like a Tossup Again
… For Democrats, an intense effort to rebuild their Midwestern “blue wall” for 2020 is showing gains in Michigan and Pennsylvania, both of which President Trump captured in 2016. On Tuesday, Democrats flipped a key Pennsylvania State Senate seat that Republicans had long held outside Pittsburgh. But in Wisconsin, the […] Read more »
How The Giant Democratic Primary Field Messes With Polls
There are already a lot of things that a smart poll-watcher has to account for when comparing surveys. Were they done by the same pollster? Did they query the same type of population (likely voters, registered voters, all adults)? To this list, the volatile 2020 Democratic primary field has added […] Read more »