What do Democratic primary voters really want? New polling finds that a candidate’s race and gender are taking a back seat to “electability.” But what does that really mean? CONT. On Point, WBUR Read more »
It’s easy to see how Trump can win reelection
President Trump thrives on chaos, much of it his own creation. But it would be a mistake to assume that the reelection campaign of this most untraditional president will mirror the tumult of his 2016 effort. It’s too early to handicap 2020, but Trump may try to capitalize on some […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Scares a Lot of People, and Quite a Few of Them Are Democrats
… I asked a group of Democratic and liberal-leaning consultants, pollsters, economists and political scientists what the likelihood of a Sanders’ nomination was, what his prospects would be in the general election, and how Democratic House and Senate candidates might fare with Sanders at the top of the ticket. When […] Read more »
Democrats Consider: Is A White, Straight Man The Safe Bet Against Trump?
… Democrats have 19 candidates and counting to pick from ahead of 2020, the most diverse field in American history in terms of gender, race and sexuality. And while they try to pick whom they personally like, they are also doing some serious mental gymnastics around the question of electability […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Can Win, But He Isn’t Polling Like A Favorite
If there’s one thing the Democratic establishment is good at, it’s panicking. And the latest reason for panic among Democratic insiders is Bernie Sanders. According to a New York Times article from earlier this month, the prospect of a Sanders nomination is “spooking establishment-aligned Democrats, some of whom are worried […] Read more »
Buying a Ticket Out of Iowa – Online
The Iowa caucuses help frame who is a contender for the nomination, which is especially important in such a large Democratic field. Historically, there are “three tickets out of Iowa.” Only once in recent political history has anyone become President without a top-three finish in the Iowa caucuses (although a […] Read more »