Former Vice President Joe Biden announced his candidacy for president on Thursday. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew discusses how he could win the Democratic nomination and also why he might come up short. A core question for his campaign will be whether he runs as a consensus candidate or as […] Read more »
How Joe Biden Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
Joe Biden has officially entered the 2020 presidential race. His case to win the 2020 Democratic nomination is fairly simple: As Barack Obama’s two-term vice president, he’s the most familiar brand in the field. He’s ahead in the polls (it’s emphatically not a tie for the lead with Bernie Sanders; […] Read more »
How Does Joe Biden Fit Into a Changing Democratic Party?
When Joe Biden first ran for Senate in 1972, 40 percent of Democrats believed that whites had a right to segregate neighborhoods. Today, he seeks the presidential nomination of a very different Democratic Party, one that is increasingly progressive, diverse and well educated. … Today, the Democratic Party is in […] Read more »
Biden Would be Arguably the Most Experienced New President Ever
In 1980, George H.W. Bush ran for the Republican nomination for president as a candidate of experience, using as a slogan “A President We Won’t Have to Train.” … For Joe Biden, the former vice president and political lifer, dusting off Bush’s 1980 slogan might make some sense. That’s because […] Read more »
Is the new Democratic Party too woke to nominate Joe Biden?
Joe Biden might seem like the 2020 candidate of anachronism. He’s old in a party that skews young; a white, straight candidate courting an increasingly diverse electorate; an old-school liberal in a party moving to the left; and more conventionally credentialed than hot commodities such as South Bend, Ind., Mayor […] Read more »
The emerging demographic divides in support for 2020 Democrats
There is still another entire NFL season between us and the first voting in the 2020 presidential primaries. If you started counting right now, one number every second, you’d be past 24.5 million by the time Iowans started showing up at their caucuses in February. There is a lot of […] Read more »