Joe Biden, the current front-runner among those running for the Democratic presidential nomination, brings an unusual quality to his candidacy: 44 years of service as an elected official at the federal level. … What are the implications of Biden’s extraordinary experience for his presidential campaign? Can Biden thread the needle […] Read more »
Countdown to the Debates
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we discuss the qualifying criteria for this election cycle’s Democratic primary debates. The Marist Poll took opposition to how polls were used during the 2016 primaries to determine inclusion. Have things changed? We pick up that discussion. Then, Mother’s Day is this weekend! […] Read more »
The Electability Trap
Every four years, the party out of the White House grapples with the question of who they want to serve as their standard bearer. And, like clockwork, the first thing they think about is what went wrong in the previous campaign. Last time, the thinking goes, we put up a […] Read more »
A Strategy Emerges to Counter House Democrats: Dare Them to Impeach
As the White House and Congress escalate their constitutional showdown, President Trump and his team are essentially trying to call what they see as the Democrats’ bluff. The message: Put up or shut up. Impeach or move on. Confident that there are not enough votes to remove him from office […] Read more »
What Happened To George W. Bush’s GOP?
The Bushes, and in many ways Texas, shaped the identity of the Republican Party across three decades. In a live taping of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast in Houston, the crew discusses how and why the GOP has changed since the end of President George W. Bush’s tenure. Houston Chronicle columnist […] Read more »
The Democrats’ Coalition Could Fundamentally Change by 2020
Though they’ve attracted little attention, recent public polls have sent clear warning signals that the ambitious agenda of the rejuvenated Democratic left could strain the coalition that carried the party to its sweeping gains in the 2018 election. Recent surveys show that such prized progressive ideas as a government-run single-payer […] Read more »