Data from President Donald Trump’s first internal reelection campaign poll conducted in March, obtained exclusively by ABC News, showed him losing a matchup by wide margins to former Vice President Joe Biden in key battleground states. Trump has repeatedly denied that such data exists. The polling data, revealed for the […] Read more »
Senate: Taking Baby Steps
Comparatively speaking, Senate races have gotten off to a glacial start this cycle. In recent cycles, a number of first-tier candidates had announced in the first quarter of the off year, largely setting the table of competitive races early. This cycle, it may be clear where the most competitive races […] Read more »
The Abortion Debate in the United States
While Americans with the most extreme views on abortion fuel the debate in the United States, most Americans’ opinions fall somewhere in the middle. On this episode of Poll Hub, we explain the results of the latest national NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll on abortion and assess what the implications might be […] Read more »
California: Trump remains hugely unpopular, but no consensus on impeachment
While President Donald Trump remains hugely unpopular in California, voters here are not of one mind when it comes to what Congress should do with regard to his possible impeachment. While 35% of the state’s registered voters believe Congress should begin impeachment proceedings, 30% support continuing their investigations without starting […] Read more »
Quantifying the ‘Trump Penalty’
With only a few exceptions, polling has delivered bad news for President Trump of late. … There is a fatalistic attitude among many experienced Republican elected officials and strategists about the president. At 74 years of age, his behavior or style is not likely to change. He does not seem […] Read more »
Women and Electability – Part 1
Punditry has focused lately on Democratic voters’ desire for an electable presidential candidate with the suggestion that the electability criterion biases them against women candidates. … The reality is that there has not been a test of whether women, writ large, are less electable. In the one circumstance in which […] Read more »