… Trump’s tenure is straining one of the most enduring rules in presidential politics: the conviction that a strong economy benefits the party holding the White House. James Carville, the chief strategist for Bill Clinton’s first campaign in 1992, condensed that belief into a four-word aphorism: “It’s the economy, stupid.” […] Read more »
Foreign Interference in U.S. Elections
Sixty-three percent of Americans express a great deal of concern about at least one form of foreign interference into the 2020 U.S. presidential election, whether it’s tampering with election results, influencing candidates or voters, or stealing information. And 52% are very worried about the vulnerability of the election system to […] Read more »
The decisive role of black voters in the 2020 Democratic primary
Key Points• Black voters are a crucial voting bloc in the upcoming Democratic primary season, particularly in the South.• White candidates with proven bona fides among black voters can compete for the black vote, even against other black candidates, as Joe Biden is showing (at least for now).• The differing […] Read more »
USC Dornsife/L.A. Times poll: Democrats believe a white male is most likely to beat Trump
The latest USC Dornsife/LA Times poll shows Democrats believe Joe Biden is the likely candidate to beat President Donald Trump among Democratic voters. More than half of Democratic voters overall believe a white male candidate is the most likely to beat President Donald Trump. Voters chose a white male more […] Read more »
What do Democrats want to hear about at the debates? (Hint: It’s not Trump.)
Democratic voters will be paying close attention to the opening candidate debates next week, and they have strong views about what they want discussed. Hint: It’s not Donald Trump. Health care, immigration, the economy, climate change, education and taxes top the list of issues Democrats told a USA TODAY/Suffolk University […] Read more »
Electability Reflects What Americans Believe is Possible
Between May 30-June 3, we conducted a listening survey to 1,871 registered voters to understand how the concept of electability is influencing the beliefs and behavior of the American electorate. While traditional research has struggled to define and measure electability, our unique methodology provides unique insight into this complex concept. […] Read more »