… It’s long been said that when you have had a very polarizing president, voters seek to find a replacement with the opposite traits. But President Trump has so many unique attributes, many people can present the opposite of him in different areas. Biden presents a sharp contrast with Trump […] Read more »
Populist policy plans are catapulting Elizabeth Warren with white collar workers
It’s now safe to say that Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is rivaling Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders for second place in the fight for the Democratic nomination. And her rise can be tied to her populist policy driven campaign. Interestingly, however, she isn’t winning over working-class voters. CONT. Harry Enten, CNN Read more »
Creating high-quality polls is incredibly hard. 2020 rule changes aren’t helping.
We’re officially in the part of the primary season where, even if pollsters can’t tell us for certain what will happen in 2020, polling starts to have consequences. … But despite the importance of the polls, many political junkies — and even some candidates themselves — don’t understand exactly what […] Read more »
Avoiding the Funhouse Mirror Effect in the Democratic Primary
In the aftermath of Election Day 2016, it became clear that we’d experienced the campaign through a funhouse mirror. Our friends, Facebook and Twitter feeds, even the New York Times election forecast needle: all of it had been wrong. Most of us inside the beltway were shocked by the result […] Read more »
Can Warren Continue to Rise?
Elizabeth Warren has captured the attention of Democratic primary voters. But, can she convince them that she’s the one who can beat President Trump? … The consensus explanation for her rise from the ashes is that her embrace of policy and substance and her ‘grind-it-out’ attitude is paying off. But, […] Read more »
Can Biden hold onto his lead?
As the first debate looms, former vice president Joe Biden holds a commanding lead in the race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination. But unforced errors such as his remarks about segregationist senators James O. Eastland and Herman Talmadge threaten the core of his support—the African American electorate that up […] Read more »