… Twenty Democratic candidates are set to debate in Detroit this week, as countless Democratic voters wonder, with knotted stomachs, whether anyone will emerge to defeat Donald Trump, in November, 2020. So what do the early polls tell us? I asked around and found an array of specialists firm in […] Read more »
Blue-collar white women are turning on Trump
The other day, Ron Brownstein served up a comprehensive, detailed analysis that suggested President Trump’s base may be fracturing. In particular, Brownstein looked at an array of data that suggests blue-collar white women may be turning on Trump. Fresh numbers from a new Quinnipiac poll, provided to this blog, underscore […] Read more »
Are Democrats Moving Too Far Left?
Many of the Democrats running for president in 2020 have staked out positions to the left of traditional Democrats on topics like health care, taxes and immigration. New polling shows that while some of those positions are broadly popular, others don’t register majority support even among Democrats. In this installment […] Read more »
How third-party votes sunk Clinton, what they mean for Trump
For all the talk about why Donald Trump was elected president while losing the popular vote and how he could win again, one of the least discussed results of the 2016 election offers valuable lessons for Democrats. An astounding 7.8 million voters cast their presidential ballots for someone other than […] Read more »
Trump thinks racist rhetoric will help him in 2020. The data suggest otherwise.
President Trump’s “go back” tweets, directed at four congresswomen of color, elicited strong condemnation of both the president – and of GOP lawmakers who failed to denounce Trump’s racist tweets. Although overt expressions of racism from a president have long been considered politically unthinkable, many analysts view Trump’s latest provocations […] Read more »
In this Michigan county, voters feel economic gains and Trump fatigue
… At a time when unemployment is near historic lows and the economy is flourishing, the 2020 election could turn on the question of whether Americans turned off by Trump’s racist and xenophobic rhetoric will give him a pass because they and their loved ones are doing better financially. Places […] Read more »