President Trump opened a three-day Western campaign swing by venturing into blue territory on Monday in a bid to flip a Democratic state and demonstrate electoral strength among Hispanic voters despite his anti-immigration policies and messaging. Mr. Trump, at a rally in New Mexico, a border state with the highest […] Read more »
How Both Parties’ 2020 Primaries Are Going
The third Democratic primary debate is over, and the final result from our poll with Ipsos are in. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew breaks down what we know about the winners and losers of last week’s debate, and how the race has changed — or […] Read more »
The Third Debate Influenced Those Who Watched … But A Lot Of People Didn’t
The final numbers from our poll with Ipsos are in, and the big takeaway is that the third Democratic presidential debate didn’t seem to have a big effect on voters’ views of the primary. Ipsos interviewed the same group of likely Democratic primary voters twice — before and after the […] Read more »
Age Isn’t Hurting 2020 Democratic Leaders, to Rivals’ Chagrin
Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. is 76 years old and prone to sometimes-rambling monologues with antiquated references. But if his age and missteps are supposed to be liabilities, they haven’t helped rivals who have tried to use them to their advantage. … While younger candidates have presented themselves […] Read more »
Maine Senate poll a Rorschach test
A poll obtained by Score showed Collins with a healthy lead over her main Democratic challenger Gideon — but the poll is a Rorschach test of sorts. The poll, which was conducted by the pollster Fabrizio Ward for AARP, was shared with the condition we not identify who passed along […] Read more »
Biden Has Deep Connection to Black Voters. Will It Translate Into Votes?
At the Democratic primary debate last week, Joseph R. Biden Jr. prompted some distress within the party with a rambling, discordant answer to a question about the legacy of slavery, a moment that highlighted his unsteady instincts, and mixed record, on matters of race. Three days later, a heavily African-American […] Read more »