The Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts. Although these district boundaries won’t be in place for 2022’s midterm elections due to upcoming redistricting, this dataset will serve as a useful baseline to […] Read more »
Thoughts on ‘Revisiting Polling’
This week five major polling firms released a statement on “Revisiting Polling for 2021 and Beyond,” which you can find here. Friends, former clients, and readers of this blog have asked me what I thought of it. This post answers that question without going behind anyone’s back, especially since I […] Read more »
Trump didn’t bring White working-class voters to the Republican Party. The data suggest he kept them away.
Republican leaders have been hailing a class realignment of the parties. “We are a working class party now. That’s the future,” tweeted Sen. Josh Hawley on election night 2020. In February, Sen. Rick Scott told audiences at CPAC, “We will not win the future by trying to go back to […] Read more »
Revisiting Polling for 2021 and Beyond
… Together, we represent five survey research firms for Democratic political campaigns. During the 2020 election, we worked on the presidential campaign, every major Senate and gubernatorial race, and congressional races across the country. Our main job as pollsters is to provide campaigns with a strategic roadmap for winning, guide […] Read more »
Polls show majority of Republicans mistakenly think the 2020 election wasn’t legitimate
… Republicans have been pushing legislation at the state level to make voting at least somewhat more difficult than it was for the 2020 election. This has come in the wake of polls showing many Republicans doubt the election result. It is unclear what effect this legislation will ultimately have […] Read more »
The GOP commitment to democracy
… We conducted a survey of registered voters in Pennsylvania, a battleground that represents the major divisions in our national politics, to assess Republicans’ commitment to democracy. We asked respondents about their support for certain principles of democracy as well as for their assessment of how American democracy is working […] Read more »