The House officially delivered to the Senate two articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump last week on the same day that the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished above 29,000 points for the first time. That striking juxtaposition encapsulates the contending forces shaping the presidential race: pervasive doubts about Trump’s […] Read more »
Trump’s electoral strength is in the details
Much of the attention to our new CNN/SSRS poll will rightly focus on the fact that a majority (51%) of Americans want the Senate to convict and remove President Donald Trump from office. It’s an amazingly high number when put in the context of past impeachment sagas. Yet, to me, […] Read more »
The Electoral Cases For — And Against — The Four Leading Democrats
In a live recording, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew debates the electoral cases of the four leading candidates in the Democratic primary. They also discuss the concept of electability and whether voters are biased against voting for a woman for president. Plus, they play a round of “Guess What Americans […] Read more »
Iowa: Biden Leads and Rural Issues Fuel Klobuchar Movement
Focus on Rural America Co-Founders former Iowa Lt. Gov Patty Judge and Jeff Link released the results of their latest poll on a conference call with reporters Monday morning. This is the 6th quarterly poll from Focus on Rural America which began tracking presidential preferences and issues in September of […] Read more »
Are the Sunbelt’s suburbs key to victory in November?
Jon Favreau conducts a focus group in Phoenix with Romney-Clinton voters. The Wilderness, Crooked Media Read more »
With Impeachment in the News, Ads Are Staying Away From Politics
… With impeachment in the news and the 2020 campaign sparking nasty hashtags on social media, it has become routine for companies to reject pitches for ads that even touch on politics. They have also asked that their ads be placed far from candidates’ campaign spots. “It’s like McCarthyism — […] Read more »